Identifying and explaining the key drivers affecting Turkey's relations with Iran in the 2035 horizon

Sahraie, Alireza

doi:10.22059/jcountst.2025.393492.1274

Identifying and explaining the key drivers affecting Turkey's relations with Iran in the 2035 horizon

Articles in Press

Document Type : Original

Author

Alireza Sahraie

Department of Political Science, Faculty of Law and Politics Studies, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran.

10.22059/jcountst.2025.393492.1274

Abstract

Iran and Turkey are old countries in the West Asian region and influential actors who have a long cultural background. They are the heirs of the powerful historical countries of the region and are distinct from other countries in the region. The main purpose of the present study is to identify and explain the key proposals that influence the relations between the two older countries in the West Asian region and as the influential actors and heirs of the powerful historical countries of the region. The basic questioning of the research is that what are the most important proposals influencing Turkish -Iranian relations in the 2035 horizon? In order to answer the research question, with a future approach, the analysis of cross-effects has been used to investigate the interaction of the network of variables and determine the position of each variable based on the relationship with the variables. The research tool is a questionnaire and the opinions of Turkish experts are research data. Research findings based on the output of Mikmak software from the propellers affecting Iran-Turkey relations indicate that of the twelve variables, two in the group of influential variables, two variables in the group of risky variables, three variables in the group of leverage, three variables in the group. Finally, the regulatory variable (geographical proximity and communication) is the only factor that only has the most impact on other variables.

Keywords

Main Subjects

International Relations

حوزة موضوعی: ایران و ترکیه

Scope: Iran & Turkey

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