The impact of monetary and fiscal policy tools on income: Bank interest rates and tax policies in Iran

Document Type : Original

Authors

Department of Economics and Islamic Banking, Faculty of Economics, Kharazmi University, Tehran, Iran.

Abstract

The main objective of this paper is to examine the impact of monetary and fiscal policy tools on income distribution, with a particular focus on Iran. Three key variables are considered for this purpose: tax revenue as a fiscal policy indicator, bank deposit interest rates as a monetary policy indicator, and the Gini coefficient as an income distribution indicator. In this study, the Gini coefficient is analyzed as the dependent variable. To address the research questions and achieve the objectives, the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model is used, and time-series data from the Central Bank of Iran (2001-2021) is employed. The results of the study show that the relationship between tax revenue and the Gini coefficient is not one-to-one. An increase in tax revenue has a positive and direct impact on the Gini coefficient, playing an important role in income redistribution. On the other hand, the bank deposit interest rate has little effect on income inequality, indicating that changes in interest rates, as a tool of monetary policy, do not significantly reduce or increase income inequality. The findings also suggest that fiscal policies are more influential than monetary policies in Iran. While this issue is linked to challenges such as central bank independence in many countries, in Iran, dependence on fluctuations in oil revenues has led policymakers to prefer expansionary fiscal policies. Ultimately, the weakness of monetary policy tools, particularly interest rate changes, in generating significant shifts in income distribution is evident, which requires serious review and reform in the country’s monetary policy framework.

Keywords

Main Subjects


حوزة موضوعی: ایران

Scope: Iran

Barkhordari S, Abdi M, Selgi S. (2018). “The relationship between per capita income growth, household credit receipts, and income inequality: A case study of Iranian Provinces”. Quarterly Journal of Economic Research. 18(69): 107-132. https://www.sid.ir/paper/513431/en. [in Persian]
Breinlich H, Leromain E, Novy D, Sampson T. (2019). “Exchange rates and consumer prices: Evidence from Brexit”. Centre for Economic Performance (CEP). Discussion Paper 1667. https://cep.lse.ac.uk/pubs/download/dp1667.pdf.
Ebrahimi Salari T. (2008). “A comparative approach to the relationship between growth and income distribution from an Islamic perspective”. In the Proceedings of the First Islamic Economics and Development Conference (pp. 123-135). Mashhad: Islamic Economics Association. https://profdoc.um.ac.ir/articles/a/1011367.pdf.  [in Persian]
Ghafari Fard M, Mirzaei H. (2021). “The impact of Enfagh on income inquality in Iran (A panel data approach)”. Islamic Economics Studies Bi-quarterly Journal. 13(2): 337-370. https://doi.org/10.30497/ies.2021.75624. [in Persian]
Iddrisu A, Alagidede IP. (2020). “Revisiting interest rate and lending channels of monetary policy transmission in the light of theoretical prescriptions”. Central Bank Review. 20: 183-192. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cbrev.2020.09.002.
Jafari SM, Emadi SJ, Ramazampour E. (2021). “Investigating the simultaneous impact of monetary and fiscal policies on income inequality in Iran”. Quarterly Journal of Applied Economics. 11(36): 39-99. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/410401/fa. [in Persian]
Kim S, Lim K. (2018). “Effects of monetary policy shocks on exchange rate in small open economies”. J. Macroecon. 56: 324-339. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jmacro.2018.04.008.
Molaesmaeili Deheshiri H, Pejouyan J, Ghafari F, Hosseini SSh. (2022). “Analyzing the impact of financial policy (total income tax) on income distribution in selected OECD countries”. Financial Economics. 16(58): 93-108. https://www.sid.ir/paper/960590/fa. [in Persian]
Mujahidin M. (2019). “Monetary policy in perspective conventional economy and Islamic economics”. Munich Personal RePEc Archive. Paper No. 94693. https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/94693/1/MPRA_paper_94693.pdf.
Pesaran MH, Shin Y. (1998). “Generalized impulse response analysis in linear multivariate models”. Economics Letters. 58: 17–29. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0165176597002140.
Rahmat Akbar Y, Zainal R, Novian N, Martin M. (2021). “Monetary and fiscal policy mix on the economy: Sharia perspective in literature review”. Proceedings of the 6th Batusangkar International Conference. BIC, October: 11-12. https://eudl.eu/doi/10.4108/eai.11-10-2021.2319550.
Raji M, Farahanifard S, Mokhtarband M. (2021). “Theoretical study on the impact of monetary policy policy tools on income distribution from the perspective of Islamic economics”. Islamic Economics. 20(80): 51-80. https://eghtesad.iict.ac.ir/article_243087.html. [in Persian]
Shahbazi Ghiasi M, Nazarpour MN, Farahanifard S. (2019). “Monetary policy goals and monetary function objective; Islamic economics approach”. Islamic Economics. 2019; 18(72): 245-270. https://www.sid.ir/paper/383497/fa. [in Persian]
Sherafat MN, Negintaji Z. (2010). “The effect of macroeconomic policy on income distribution in Iran”. Journal of Macroeconomics. 1(2): 1-29. https://ecoj.sbu.ac.ir/article_57563.html. [in Persian]
Pitchay AA. (2022). “The effect of monetary policy on Islamic financial institution: A perspective of liquidity management. Rafgo. 2(2): 22-29. https://akuntansi.pnp.ac.id/rafgo/index.php/RAFGO/article/view/23.
Soemitra A, Ismal R, Waqqosh A, Hasibuan HL, Pasarela H. (2021). “Analysis of Islamic monetary policy transmission on business sector and MSME performance”. Jurnal Ekonomi Manajemen Dan Bisnis. 22(2). https://doi.org/10.29103/e-mabis.v22i2.695.
Tadayyon F, Sharifi Renani H. (2023). “Analysis of the effect of monetary policy on the distribution of real income in the Iran’s economy”. Scientific-Technical Quarterly of Economic Development and Planning. 10(2): 62-79. https://journals.iau.ir/article_709686.html. [in Persian]