The effect of Ukraine war on global food security based on PEST's strategic analysis model

Document Type : Original

Author

Regional Studies Department, Faculty of Law and Political Sciences, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.

Abstract

After the financial crisis of 2008, the issue of food security befitted one of the main security agendas of the world's countries. Three elements of climate change, the COVID-19 pandemic and armed conflicts are the fundamental reasons for fueling this crisis. Historically, armed conflicts have always been effective in food insecurity within countries; however, Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022 has caused food insecurity to spread globally. In fact, communicated the ominous legacy of the financial crisis caused by the pandemic and the worsening climate change situation, the timing of this war endured such that it has turned food security into a full-blown crisis. Given this explanation, the purpose of this research is to answer the question, how has the war in Ukraine fueled the food security crisis in the world? In response, the war in Ukraine has caused a global crisis in this area by creating insecurity in accessibility, availability, utilization of food, and stability of the supply chain. To consider this hypothesis, the PEST analysis method has been used. The key findings of the research show that the aggressive war in Ukraine directly (profound effect on food distribution, displacement of people, lack of agricultural labor, weaponization of food, and inflation) on the one hand and indirectly (progressively increasing the ultimate price of inputs including fertilizer and energy) food security crisis has intensified the world food insecurity.

Keywords

Main Subjects

حوزة موضوعی: جنگ روسیه و اوکراین

Scope: Russo-Ukraine War

References

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Journal of Countries Studies
Volume 1, Issue 4
Special issue of Russo-Ukraine War
2024
Pages 631-665

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History

  • Receive Date: 21 September 2023
  • Revise Date: 25 September 2023
  • Accept Date: 29 September 2023

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